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Risk Tolerance and Time Horizon: How Much Risk Can You Take?

Risk tolerance is how much loss you can stomach and afford; time horizon is how long until you need the money. Learn how they shape a portfolio.

Key takeaways
  • Risk tolerance has two parts: your ability to take risk (finances, timeline) and your willingness (how you react to losses).
  • Money needed in a few years belongs in steadier investments; money for decades away can ride out more volatility.
  • Be honest about how you behaved in past drops. It is the best clue to how you will act in the next one.

Two questions

Can you afford a loss? That depends on your income stability, savings, debts and when you need the money. Can you stand it? That is emotional. Someone with a secure job and a 30-year horizon may still sell in a panic. Both answers matter. See risk tolerance.

Time horizon

Your time horizon is how long until you need the money. Stocks have had many bad years, but over long periods have historically recovered. Over a one- or two-year window the range of outcomes is wide. That is why people saving for a near-term goal like a house down payment often choose steadier assets such as Treasury bills or high-yield savings, and long-term savers hold more stocks.

A quick self-check

  • How did I feel the last time my investments dropped 20%?
  • Would I sell, hold or buy more?
  • How many months of expenses are in my emergency fund?
  • When do I need this money, and for what?

Turning it into a plan

Many people translate their answers into a mix of stocks, bonds and cash. That is asset allocation. A common rule of thumb is to hold more bonds as the goal date approaches, which is what target-date funds do automatically. Rules of thumb are starting points, not advice for you.

Revisit it

Tolerance changes with life events, jobs and age. Review it yearly and after big changes. A plan you can stick with beats a theoretically perfect plan you abandon.

Quick answers

Is there a right stock/bond split for my age?
There are rules of thumb, but nobody can say the right split for you. A fee-only financial planner can help.

Sources and further reading

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Go deeper: books

Cover of The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel
The Psychology of Money
Morgan Housel
MindsetBeginner

Short stories about how people think about money, risk and luck, arguing that behavior matters more than intelligence.

Cover of The Behavior Gap by Carl Richards
The Behavior Gap
Carl Richards
MoneyBeginner

Short essays with simple sketches on why we do the wrong thing with money and how to close the gap.

Cover of Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Daniel Kahneman
MindsetIntermediate

A Nobel laureate explains the two systems of thought and the biases that shape judgment and decisions.

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This guide is for education only and is not investment, tax or legal advice. Examples use made-up numbers to show how a calculation works. Read our disclosures.

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